Why This War?
August 6, 2002
And a mans foes shall be they of his own
house, says the Good Book. Similarly, a mans own
government is apt to be his enemy. Thats why the Founders of the
U.S. Government came up with the quaint notion of limiting the powers of
that government and making it answerable to the people it ruled.
It seemed like a good
idea at the time, but it hasnt quite worked as planned. Domestic
rulers, elected or not, arent necessarily better than foreign rulers.
King George III, as I point out from time to time, didnt rule his 13
American colonies anywhere near as harshly as the present U.S.
Government rules us.
Think of it this way.
Would you rather deal with a tax on the tea you drink even if you
drink a lot of it or with the Internal Revenue Service?
Thats why I
was skeptical, back in 1990, when our rulers were trying to convince me
that Saddam Hussein was my enemy. Sure, he was a tyrant, but that meant
only that he was the enemy of the people of Iraq. He wasnt hurting
or threatening me or my family, and I saw no reason to send my son to
fight him. Our own government was robbing us every week.
Among the reasons our
rulers gave for the Gulf War was that Saddam Hussein, if allowed to keep
Kuwait, might raise oil prices. How much? An economist I trusted
calculated that even if he also conquered Saudi Arabia, the effect on oil
prices would be slight. Not that it made much difference to me. Id
rather pay $5 a gallon at the pump than risk losing my son Mike. And
Im sure most fathers felt the same way about their sons.
Now
as then, we have a President Bush warning us that Saddam Hussein is evil.
Well, most rulers are bad enough, but that doesnt mean they
threaten us. But isnt Saddam Hussein trying to develop nuclear
weapons? Maybe so. But he wont live long enough to be able to hit
the United States with them; and even if he did, he would be insane to do
so.
The European
governments arent unduly worried about a Saddam Hussein with
nukes, even though they live a lot closer to him than we do. But the U.S.
Government is indignant at the very idea of his acquiring these
weapons of mass destruction. Our rulers talk as if the only
regime that can be trusted to possess such weapons is the one regime that
has actually used them namely, the U.S. Government. Oh, and Israel,
of course.
All this alarm over
Iraq rings false when you consider that we lived for forty years with a
nuclear-armed Soviet Union. The Soviets were infinitely more menacing to
us than Iraq is now. They trained nuclear missiles on dozens of American
cities. Yet after an initial surge of fear, we learned to play ball with
them. Why the rush to smash Iraq?
A growing number of
states now possess nukes, and the number will keep increasing. Obviously
there is a danger that some of these bombs will eventually be dropped. But
for the most part they are like the queen in a game of chess: she exerts
power even when she isnt actually moved, forcing ones
opponent to be cautious in his attack. Its doubtful that Iraq would
be eager to nuke Israel, which has its own fearsome nuclear arsenal, but a
nuclear Iraq might feel safer from Israeli assault and be able to play a
larger role in the Middle East.
But unless the Bush
Administration strikes soon, it will lose support for its planned war. That
support, so far, has been fueled by the dubious claim that Saddam Hussein
had something or other to do with the 9/11 attacks, so that knocking him
out would be a triumph in the war on terrorism.
But the only evidence
for this claim is an unproven report that an Iraqi diplomat had a single
meeting with an al-Qaeda representative in Prague. Even if true, that by
itself hardly warrants war on Iraq.
When the reasons that
are given for war are so feeble, you can be sure they arent the real
reasons. The war Bush wants will intensify, not lessen, the danger of
terrorism against Americans.
Why does he want it?
What is his real reason? Who is our real enemy?
Joseph Sobran
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