INORDINATE FEAR
August 2, 2005
by Joe Sobran
During the Cold War, some of the greatest believers
in communism were anti-communists. When in 1957 the
Soviet ruler, Nikita Khrushchev, boasted, "We will bury
you," he was believed by many of the same Americans who
usually insisted that communism could never work. That
same year, the Soviets launched the first satellite into
outer space, Sputnik I, and Americans panicked: obviously
Soviet education and science were far superior to our
own. We had a lot of catching up to do!
In due course we calmed down. Communism was a shabby
system, based on basic errors about human nature, and all
we really had to do was wait for it to collapse.
Sometimes I think it lasted as long as it did chiefly
because the West believed in it. We overestimated its
efficiency, its military power, and its popular appeal
around the world.
President Jimmy Carter later deprecated our
"inordinate fear of communism." I was one of many
conservative pundits who mocked him for this at the time,
but he was quite right. You could hardly hate communism
too much, but we certainly feared it too much.
John Kennedy played on our inordinate fear when he
warned of the nonexistent "missile gap" in 1960; it was
enough to give him the edge he needed to win the
presidency. His own inordinate fear led him into the Bay
of Pigs fiasco and, worse, the Vietnam war. He also said
we must get to the moon before the Soviets did.
Our protracted overreaction to the Soviet threat
should caution us against a similar overreaction to
Islamic terrorism. The shock of September 11, often
likened to Pearl Harbor, was more like the shock of
Sputnik I.
I heard the news of Sputnik at a University of
Michigan football game; I'll never forget it. I was
eating a hot dog with mustard and onions that chilly
autumn day in Ann Arbor, and when the news came over the
stadium's loudspeakers, I could feel terror sweeping
through the huge crowd like the biting wind. We were
doomed! Our hatred of communism was now mingled with
dread and awe of its achievements.
When we watched the World Trade Center turn to
rubble that brilliant morning in 2001, the feeling came
back. Suddenly we began toting up the terrorists' assets:
a huge and fervent Muslim population around the world,
possibly with secret cells of jihadists ready to strike
in every major Western city. They had brought off the
9/11 attacks with a few simple box cutters, but could we
be sure they wouldn't have more-formidable weapons --
chemical, biological, even nuclear -- in the future?
Might they not also have the support of evil regimes in
Iraq and elsewhere?
Today the enemy looks much less invincible. He has
struck again, notably in Madrid and London, but his
resources are clearly finite. He has enough explosives to
wreak local havoc, and thousands of Muslims in the West
may sympathize with him, but relatively few are actually
prepared to offer themselves up as suicide bombers; Islam
too has its Walter Mittys.
President Bush reminds me more and more of President
Kennedy. Just as Kennedy spoke of a "twilight struggle"
to save our freedom, in which cause we would "pay any
price, bear any burden," Bush speaks of our "resolve"
even as fewer young Americans are enlisting for military
service.
But what about the other side? Osama bin Laden can
match Khrushchev in bold bluster; but it's highly likely
that he has his own frustrations. Only a small fraction
of the world's Muslims are responding to his summons to
sacrifice and martyrdom. After a spectacular debut on the
global stage -- his Sputnik I, you might say -- his
movement looks pretty feeble. Some of his agents are
being arrested and have started singing to the London
police. Not exactly an airtight operation of iron-willed
fanatics.
We understandably began by overestimating our
enemies again, and Bush has tried hard to sustain the
apocalyptic note. But there comes a time when it sinks
in, however gradually, that most of us are in no danger
-- and never were.
We've spent billions on everything from airport
security to duct tape. We're still wasting other billions
on the space program that originated in our previous
inordinate fear.
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