For what its worth, Secretary of State
Colin Powell now acknowledges he never saw a smoking gun
proving that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction or terrorist
ties, but he still says it was prudent to assume so
at the time. Meanwhile, the Carnegie Endowment for
International Peace, a liberal (but sober) think-tank, says the Bush
administration misrepresented the danger from Iraq in
order to precipitate war. A member of the Army War College agrees that
the Iraq war was unnecessary for its announced purpose of
fighting terrorism. And President Bushs own former secretary of
the Treasury, in a new book and related interviews, also says Bush was
bent on war on Iraq from the start, long before the 9/11 attacks, even
though he, ONeill, never saw evidence of any Iraqi weapons of mass
destruction.

ONeill
portrays Bush as a rather dull man who doesnt listen to arguments
when, or after, making up his mind on a course of action. The Bush team
says ONeill is merely bitter about having been fired, but what he
says rings true. For the better part of a year, Bush has stubbornly insisted
that those weapons and terrorist links would be found, but even after the
capture of Saddam Hussein, they havent turned up.

Does anyone still
believe they ever will?

As for terrorism,
where is it? Are we also to believe that the extreme security measures
the federal government has taken including a powerful new
Department of Homeland Security have prevented them? There are
literally millions of vulnerable soft targets al-Qaeda might
have struck by now, if it were as powerful and determined as we have
been so relentlessly told, but in this country, at least, very little has
happened. The latest high alert of Christmas, Hanukkah,
Kwanzaa, and New Years has passed without incident.

At what point after
all this crying Wolf! may we reasonably suspect that the
actual wolf peril is somewhat slight? Terrorism still bedevils the state
of Israel, and Iraqi resistance goes on despite Saddams capture,
but these are special situations. They in no way confirm the warnings of
either the administration or the neoconservative war nerds.

These are boom
times for the war nerds the war on terror has brought them fame,
fortune, and, not least, book contracts. Two of them, David Frum and
Richard Perle, have just published a book,
An End to Evil: How to Win the
War on Terror (Random House). The title itself tells you that
theyre feeling their oats. Ending evil is a pretty ambitious agenda.
Ending it even in, say, Nebraska might be a fairly tall order. But ending
evil throughout the entire world, as Messrs. Frum and Perle propose to do,
suggests a particularly naive sort of hubris.

Their book has
received a scalding review from Michiko Kakutani of
The New York Times, who finds it Manichean, cocky,
swaggering, furious,
bellicose, smug, shrill,
triumphalist, bullying,
specious, strident,
sophistical, and self-righteous. In the
authors own words, There is no middle way for Americans.
It is victory or holocaust.

Neocon watchers
will suspect that neither Frum nor Perle has been able to exert much of a
restraining influence on the other. They heap contempt on the State
Department, Europe, the Palestinians, the United Nations, the Democrats,
the foreign-policy establishment, critics of the Patriot Act, Saudi Arabia,
and most other states in the Mideast (can you guess the exception?).

Though Frum was a
speechwriter for Bush and helped coin the phrase axis of
evil (his original phrase was axis of hate until a
copy editor stepped in) and Perle also worked in the administration, the
book doesnt spare the first President Bush, who settled for driving
Iraq out of Kuwait without deposing Saddam Hussein. It tells you
something that even the current President Bush seems to have been unable
to abide these two war nerds for very long.

The neocons may
still be riding high in their own publishing strongholds, and no doubt there
are still many book contracts yet to come; but one senses that they have
reached their limit, as far as real influence goes. They have achieved not
only publicity, but overexposure and the skepticism that goes with it. Miss
Kakutanis review is but one straw in the wind.

Conservatives still
regard the incumbent Bush as our guy, but its
beginning to dawn on them that, with his neocon friends, he has pretty
much abandoned any principles they thought he shared with them. Like
Richard Nixon, he has antagonized liberals with his style, while expanding
the welfare state to appalling dimensions. If driving liberals crazy makes
you a conservative, Bush is a conservative; but by any other standard, he is
simply a liberal Republican.

True, he wants to be
thought of as a conservative, and he wants to keep his conservative base.
For them it seems to suffice that liberals find him insufferable. After all,
he has waged a flag-waving war, and most conservatives like that; it
doesnt seem to occur to them that perhaps patriots might
sometimes find war objectionable for their own reasons. Protesting war
is a defining liberal gesture, isnt it?
Without Due Reflection

Even the Pope
discomfits American conservatives with his emphasis on peace. American
conservatives, even devout Christians, instinctively feel that some things
must be fought for, and they are repelled by what appears to them the
moral softness of liberalism. This is not altogether a bad thing; in
essence, it is a very good thing.

But it is fatally easy
to convert their healthy instinct into an uncritical support for militarism,
especially when they see liberals opposing war for the wrong reasons.
Its a subtle and difficult truth that our opponents may be
accidentally right when we are accidentally wrong, and it may take a bit
of humility to discern when this is the case.

Unless we do this,
however, we are apt to be misled into one misconceived war after another;
maybe not huge, apocalyptic wars like World War II, but smaller wars that
will only make bad things worse, killing and maiming innocent people and
wasting the lives of young men who imagine they are defending liberty
when they are actually doing something very different.

An unjust war,
however limited, necessarily entails murder; and even a just war may be
fought with unjust methods. This is why our consciences should be
disturbed whenever we are pressured into war especially a
pre-emptive war, or a war of choice
without due reflection on the serious moral dangers of any war. Its
particularly troubling when most Americans hardly care when it
transpires that a war has resulted from false propaganda.

Is our government
really protecting us? And how! Let me explain how the
security mania is destroying liberty. Heres a special introductory
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Joseph Sobran