A
few months ago, John Kerrys religion loomed as a potentially
explosive element in the campaign. Would he be denied
Communion because of his long pro-abortion record?
Somehow the question died out, unresolved. Instead,
debate has focused on details of his war record.

Well,
it seems Kerry has been ineligible for
Communion on other grounds for nearly a decade. A profile
of Teresa Heinz Kerry in
The New Yorker
casually reports, After a brief courtship,
a short period of cohabitation, and the signing of a
prenuptial agreement, the Kerrys were married in a civil
ceremony on Nantucket in 1995.

Put
otherwise, the divorced Kerry has been living in sin for
more than nine years (maybe more, counting the premarital
cohabitation). He has said, in a jocular radio interview
with Don Imus, that hes applied for an annulment of
his first marriage, presumably so he can solemnize his
union with Teresa, but he left it at that.

Given
the scandalous ease with which annulments
are dispensed nowadays, you might think a man who claims
his faith means so much to him might wait a
bit for the paperwork; but maybe Kerry is one of those
Catholics who think Vatican II repealed all the rules.

Who
knows? Meanwhile, he insists that his support for
abortion, even horrifying late-term abortion,
mustnt be construed as evidence of a lack of
devoutness.

Draw
your own conclusions. Heres mine, for what
its worth.

Kerry
is an ambitious man, and he found Teresa
Heinz, an attractive, vivacious, and extremely rich
widow, irresistible. They were both Catholics, but they
found the Churchs teachings on sex, marriage,
contraception, abortion, and so forth annoying
technicalities that neednt be taken too seriously.

However,
like so many lax Catholics, they found
it curiously difficult to cut their ties to the Church
and become, say, Episcopalians. As Teresa told
The New
Yorker, Catholicism is part of me, you know
part of who I am. And I believe she means it.

Maybe
Kerry shares this feeling. Maybe he hopes
to marry her in the Church someday. If so, his spiritual
condition could explain several things about him,
including the failure of his presidential campaign.

Everyone
senses a lack of conviction in Kerry;
his fellow Democrats complain about it. Nobody has
suggested the obvious possibility that his problem stems
from a bad conscience. Living in sin is a corrosive
thing, and I suspect Kerry is inwardly aware that he has
cut himself off from the Church, and is tortured by it.
He goes through the motions of living, even seeking the
biggest prize in politics, but his heart isnt in
it.

What
outwardly appears as great worldly success wealth,
power, fame, and the rest is, from a Catholic
standpoint, ultimate failure where it really matters.
What shall it profit a man ... ? And Kerry,
unless his conscience is quite dead, knows this. He has
placed himself in a spiritual trap from which it
wont be easy to escape, least of all during an
election season. Like Bush, but in a different way, he
has to pretend that all is well, when he knows better.

No
wonder his campaign is so strikingly joyless. Kerry has
turned himself into a virtual Kennedy, so to speak. For
decades he has been making what were supposed to be, in
career terms, all the right moves. But in his heart he
must know he has made one wrong move, and it was a big
one. And no, it wasnt in Vietnam.
The Long
War
Tensions are said to be
rising between the White House and the Central
Intelligence Agency. The CIA isnt delivering the
optimistic reports on Iraq that President Bush would
prefer.
The Washington Post reports that career
professionals in several agencies believe the
rebellion is deeper and more widespread than is being
publicly acknowledged.

Things
are definitely not improving,
one official is quoted as saying. It is getting
worse, adds an Army staff officer who served in
Iraq and stays in touch with comrades in Baghdad through
e-mail. The resistance is conducting attacks in U.S.
strongholds that seemed safe a year ago.

Bush
has hardly been there, except for a brief surprise visit
to American troops nearly a year ago. How can he have a
feel for the situation, except through the intelligence
services whose judgment he recently belittled as
just guessing? He later said he should have
said estimate rather than guess;
but, fallible as the CIA is, what else does he have to go
on?

Many
Americans have supported Bushs war because he
knows so much more than we do. But how, and in what
sense, does he know about a situation from
which he is remote? Its these agencies that are
supposed to give him a privileged perspective. If he
doesnt believe them, on what sources does he base
his stubborn optimism?

The
casualty figures, no-go areas, car bombings, kidnapings,
and beheadings speak for themselves. So does the
hostility of ordinary Iraqis who may not resort to
violence, but who openly resent the U.S. presence.

In
the face of such evidence, Bush is insisting that he has
been right all along, from his rosy pre-war predictions
to mission accomplished to the creation of a
new, American-sponsored government. The Iraqis were
yearning for freedom, he said; which may well have been
true, but didnt mean that they would welcome an
American occupation as the vehicle of their liberation.

Even
now, Bush is hardly qualifying what he was saying two
years ago. This is unnatural. The experience of war must
have put things in a somewhat different light by now.
There have to be some events he didnt foresee, some
things that didnt work out quite as planned, some
factors he should have given more weight to. This is true
not only of this war, or of any war in an alien culture,
but of human action in general.

Oddly
enough, Bush reminds one of Dan
Rathers recent ordeal. Rather too found it hard to
admit any mistake in judgment. He insisted that the
public accept as authoritative his trust in documents
that turned out to be forgeries. And he wound up making
that public doubt not only his judgment, but his honesty.
If you catch a man picking your pocket, do you assume
its the first pocket hes ever tried to pick?
More likely you assume its a habit, and he just
happened to get caught this time.

Bush
and Rather, I suspect, are both showing bad habits they
have fallen into. Both men believe, or ignore, sources of
information according to what they want to believe. Both
speak out of sincere conviction. But both have made
disastrous misjudgments.

Rather
has kept his job anyway, and it looks as
if Bush will keep his anyway. The Iraq war will slog on
for the foreseeable future. There wont be the kind
of happy ending Bush keeps predicting; but neither will
there be the frank admission of a mistake. Even if
hes re-elected, Bush will persist in maintaining
the appearance of consistency as long as he possibly can.

Even
the ancient pagan world, knowing nothing of Revelation,
spoke easily of the divine. Why, after two millennia of
Christianity, do modern men talk like logical
positivists? A tentative answer will be found in my monthly newsletter,
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Joseph Sobran