Osama and Jack the
Ripper
One
angry reader calls me an
appeaser for a recent
column in which I denied that
al-Qaeda poses a totalitarian threat to this
country. In
this business one gets used to having ones little
feelings hurt, but the pain soon passes, often giving way to reflection.
The word appeaser
belongs to a legacy of slogans from World War II and the Cold War, which
are being forced into service for the War on Terror, to which they
dont apply. Its hardly appeasing an enemy to
define him in his true dimensions. Jack the Ripper was a bad sort of
person, but not a totalitarian threat just a brief menace to a
certain class of women in a certain part of London.
Nevertheless, when people are
frightened they lose all sense of proportion, and the Rippers
fiendish murders terrified respectable people to whom he posed no threat
at all. He probably sold millions of newspapers the only mass
media of his day. Imagine the impact hed have had in the age of
television. Jack kept the public good and jumpy with periodic letters to
the newspapers, rather like bin Ladens occasional videos. Then,
mysteriously, he stopped killing women. Did he change? Well never
know.
Terrorists, as the
term implies, want to scare people. Television is extremely helpful to this
purpose, especially when it can actually show us their crimes. The events
of 9/11 were immeasurably less destructive than last months
giant tsunami, but youd hardly know it from the media coverage.
Just
before the November 2 election, Osama bin Laden released another video, causing
speculation that he was trying, as his own words seemed to imply, to help
John Kerry win, though some speculated that he was cleverly trying to
help President Bush win by using reverse psychology. But here is a
different assessment, from the Egyptian newspaper Al-
Ahram (quoted in Commentary magazine):
[The] tape is one of capitulation
and bankruptcy, and not one of threat and warning, since bin Laden appears
in regular robes and not in a military uniform with a rifle by his side.... In
addition, bin Laden does not refer at all to jihad in this tape.... The tape
tells George Bush, Leave us alone, and we will leave you
alone. It is obvious, from both the language and the body language,
that this is a speech of a man who is capitulating, withdrawing, or trying
to change his spots from a jihad fighter to a politician.
![[Breaker quote: Fighting phantoms]](2005breakers/050111.gif) If this reading is correct, bin Laden may now be so weak that he has even given up bluffing. Maybe his
past threats have achieved their purpose, and nothing further is to be
gained by making more of them, with the U.S. Government taking extreme
security measures and his own resources stretched thin. His personal
wealth, after all, was much less than the United States spends in a single
day in Iraq. Is he reasoning that the time has come for a new strategy?
One of subtly offering to appease the United States? Or is he playing some
other head game? In any case, its fantastic to imagine him
conquering America, let alone ruling it. Terrorists are rarely conquerors.
Ive suspected for some
time that al-Qaeda shot its wad on 9/11. This is impossible to prove, but
the follow-up attacks we expected havent come to pass. We have
long since ceased worrying about anthrax in the mail and sealing our
houses with duct tape. Most of us are feeling a bit sheepish about the era
of John Ashcroft and Tom Ridge.
The war in Iraq, of course, seems
only tenuously related to our former fears, especially to those Bush
obsessively encouraged about Saddam Hussein and mushroom clouds. Like
bin Laden, the president has quietly changed his tune. His War on Terror
has morphed into something completely different: a War for Democracy.
The terrorists he now speaks of are those who want to
disrupt this months elections in Iraq; nobody thinks they pose any
menace to life in America, or that they draw much of their power from
al-Qaeda.
Its not just the rhetoric
of World War II and the Cold War that seems old-fashioned: Bushs
urgent alarms about post9/11 dangers are already passé. The
country was geared up for a phantom enemy and a huge war we never had
to fight. And were still fighting it.
Joseph Sobran
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