Listening to Ourselves
Four
years ago, President Bush enjoyed
overwhelming popular support for war on Iraq. Saddam Hussein had
something to do with the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001; he had,
no doubt, weapons of mass destruction, probably nuclear,
that threatened the entire Western world; after his overthrow, democracy
would erupt contagiously throughout the Middle East; and the risks of
inaction were greater than the risks of action. Saddam was quickly routed,
his sons were killed, he was captured and eventually hanged. The
exultant theme was Mission Accomplished. Bush won
reelection.
But
somehow the war continued. Somehow victory was incomplete. Europe and
indeed most of the world opposed the war. Still, after two years, optimism
persisted. National Review ran a cover story assuring us that
Were Winning!; Fred Barnes of The Weekly
Standard wrote that the invasion of Iraq was the greatest
act of benevolence one nation has ever performed for another.
Over
the next two years, though, most Americans soured on the war; most Iraqis
wanted the American troops to leave. The optimists became a defensive and
desperate minority. The Democrats recaptured both houses of Congress.
Republicans shunned association with Bush; many were, and are, edging away
from their former support. The Iraq war had become the worst disaster
since Vietnam.
Even
Bush, the archoptimist, has had to change his tune. He assured the American
public that a troop surge would reverse recent misfortunes;
and a few days ago he surprisingly embraced the Vietnam parallel
not to admit his folly, of course, but to warn us of the horrifying
consequences of another American defeat: massacres, refugees, tyranny.
Other
apologists for the war insist that the surge is making
progress, or at least proving, in the words of former Bush
speechwriter Michael Gerson, that progress is possible. These
claims are always made in the vaguest terms: the surge has made
significant progress or shown significant
results. (Or positive results.)
But
notice that the optimists have long since stopped talking about
victory; Gerson is honest enough to admit that in Iraq, a U.S.
victory isnt even definable. The world hasnt
heard such evasiveness since, after Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Emperor
Hirohito announced to his people that certain developments have
occurred which are not necessarily favorable to Japan. We have gone
from Mission Accomplished to Progress Is
Possible. And instead of golden promises of the fruits of victory,
Bush is reduced to warning of what could happen if we lose.
 If?
Speaking of Japan, Bush reminds one of the aging Japanese
soldiers we used to discover on isolated Pacific islands even in the 1970s,
still ready to fight for their emperor, because they didnt know the
war had ended decades earlier. The parallel isnt perfect: Bush himself
is our emperor, even if he seems as out of touch as those poor soldiers. And
Hirohito had the sense to know when he was licked.
Will
Bush really be insane enough to attack Iran, as his neoconservative courtiers
want him to do? Probably. His self-righteousness, which he calls
resolution, knows no limits, and the Democrats, for all their
whining about the Iraq war, are in thrall to the pro-war Israel lobby and
wont try to stop him, especially since he, not they, will take the heat
for it.
It
seems impossible, until you try to imagine an alternative. Remember, with his
Truman Complex Bush is convinced that history will vindicate him. Nothing will
persuade him otherwise. He is like a man with magical powers who knows he
must use them before the spell expires at midnight.
Now,
like cats burying their turds, such brainy fellows as Christopher Hitchens and
George Will are doing their best to make us forget they originally favored
invading Iraq. Both have adopted the simple strategy of changing the subject.
Hitchens now prefers to parade his aggressive atheism (he blames religion
for, among other evils, war!); Will argues that, after all, war is sometimes
necessary (he cites World War II, on the assumption that nobody can argue
with that; beg to differ).
I am
mildly curious to see how these brave highbrows will address an aggressive
war on Iran. Of course nobody is proposing that they take up arms to serve
their country themselves, any more than that they fight poverty by going to
Calcutta to wash the sores of beggars with their own hands. Still, Im
curious.
Joseph Sobran
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